Forward-looking tone is improving across 3 channels (2 in agreement). No distress, pre-raise or narrative-drift signals firing. Tone trajectory is stable ( → → in_line → ahead); last update 2026-03-19. Next results expected today (2026-05-01); the earnings model leans inline (39% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Improver flagged | Tone improving across multiple channels — flagged improver in MAIN_MARKET. 2 of 3 channels in agreement | tone 73.0 · broker -66.7 · director 100.0 · sector 23.0 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-03-19 · 8 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Pre-raise | Not flagged | Not flagged as a pre-raise candidate. | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted inline | Next results expected today (2026-05-01). Model leans inline of consensus. 26% below · 39% inline · 35% ahead · 39% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (1) | |||
| 2026-04-13 | target_cut | JEFFERIESbuy | 361p(was 381) |
| Director deals — last 90 days (2; 2 purchases) | |||
| 2026-03-05 | Purchase | Adam Castleton61 shares | £13.2k |
| 2026-02-05 | Purchase | Adam Castleton55 shares | £0 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (78% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Tone improving across multiple channels — flagged improver in MAIN_MARKET.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-03-19 · 8 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
Not flagged as a pre-raise candidate.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected today (2026-05-01). Model leans inline of consensus.
26% below · 39% inline · 35% ahead · 39% model confidence · calendar low
JEFFERIESbuy
Adam Castleton61 shares
Adam Castleton55 shares
Forward-looking tone is improving across 3 channels (2 in agreement). No distress, pre-raise or narrative-drift signals firing. Tone trajectory is stable ( → → in_line → ahead); last update 2026-03-19. Next results expected today (2026-05-01); the earnings model leans inline (39% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Improver flagged | Tone improving across multiple channels — flagged improver in MAIN_MARKET. 2 of 3 channels in agreement | tone 73.0 · broker -66.7 · director 100.0 · sector 23.0 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-03-19 · 8 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Pre-raise | Not flagged | Not flagged as a pre-raise candidate. | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted inline | Next results expected today (2026-05-01). Model leans inline of consensus. 26% below · 39% inline · 35% ahead · 39% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (1) | |||
| 2026-04-13 | target_cut | JEFFERIESbuy | 361p(was 381) |
| Director deals — last 90 days (2; 2 purchases) | |||
| 2026-03-05 | Purchase | Adam Castleton61 shares | £13.2k |
| 2026-02-05 | Purchase | Adam Castleton55 shares | £0 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (78% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Tone improving across multiple channels — flagged improver in MAIN_MARKET.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-03-19 · 8 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
Not flagged as a pre-raise candidate.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected today (2026-05-01). Model leans inline of consensus.
26% below · 39% inline · 35% ahead · 39% model confidence · calendar low
JEFFERIESbuy
Adam Castleton61 shares
Adam Castleton55 shares
