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/Signals/Tone decliners

Tone decliners

Companies where multiple independent channels — issuer language, analyst ratings, insider trades, sector backdrop — agree on a deteriorating outlook. AIM list captured 14.3% of subsequent profit warnings in Q4 2025 vs a 4.4% baseline (3.25× lift).

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Segment

AllAIMMain MarketAQSE Growth

Tone decliners — AIM (14)

AOM
Activeops plc
4ch · 3 agree · AIM · 11d since
-53
Tone trajectory -85 (last below, deteriorating)Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £48k selling (3 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
DATA
Globaldata plc
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-40
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 4 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -70 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Consumer Discretionary) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdro…
JSG
Johnson Service Group plc
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-34
Brokers 90d: 5 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -55 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Industrials) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
GGP
Greatland Resources Limited
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-33
Brokers 90d: 3 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £7401k selling (0 purchase(s), 3 sale(s))Tone trajectory +0 (last unknown, no trend)
MAB1
Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) plc
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-33
Brokers 90d: 2 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £4011k buying (5 purchase(s), 0 sale(s))Tone trajectory -65 (last below, deteriorating)
GFM
Griffin Mining Limited
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-29
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 2 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -38 (last unknown, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
CER
Cerillion PLC
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-27
Brokers 90d: 7 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -35 (last below, stable)Narrative tightly clustered z=-3.23 (cosine 0.950)
RCN
Redcentric PLC
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 25d since
-26
Director deals 90d: net £34186k selling (0 purchase(s), 4 sale(s))Tone trajectory -30 (last in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.87 (cosine 0.963)
LORD
Lords Group Trading plc
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 23d since
-23
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.89 (cosine 0.902)
YCA
Yellow Cake PLC
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 3mo since
-21
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
JSE
Jadestone Energy plc
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-14
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -25 (last below, stable)Sector tone (Energy) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
ITX
Itaconix plc
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-13
Tone trajectory -30 (last unknown, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.86 (cosine 0.914)Director deals 90d: net £13k selling (0 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
ULTP
Ultimate Products PLC
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 2mo since
-11
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.43 (cosine 0.918)Director deals 90d: net £3k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
IQE
IQE plc
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-10
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.78 (cosine 0.957)Director deals 90d: net £31k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
TIDMCompanyScoreDirectionChannelsDriversLast stmtSegment
AOMActiveops plc-53
4ch · 3 agree
Tone trajectory -85 (last below, deteriorating)Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)

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About this signal

Ranking is per-segment percentile of a composite score that combines tone trajectory, sector backdrop, broker rating drift, narrative drift and insider transactions. Flagging requires ≥3 of 4 channels active and ≥2 in agreement on direction. Forward outcome lift over 90 days: AIM 3.25×, Main Market 1.30× of segment baseline cut rate.

The signal does not account for borrow availability, transaction costs or market impact. Treat as a screen, not a recommendation.

Segment

AllAIMMain MarketAQSE Growth

Tone decliners — AIM (14)

AOM
Activeops plc
4ch · 3 agree · AIM · 11d since
-53
Tone trajectory -85 (last below, deteriorating)Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £48k selling (3 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
DATA
Globaldata plc
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-40
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 4 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -70 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Consumer Discretionary) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdro…
JSG
Johnson Service Group plc
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-34
Brokers 90d: 5 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -55 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Industrials) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
GGP
Greatland Resources Limited
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-33
Brokers 90d: 3 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £7401k selling (0 purchase(s), 3 sale(s))Tone trajectory +0 (last unknown, no trend)
MAB1
Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) plc
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-33
Brokers 90d: 2 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £4011k buying (5 purchase(s), 0 sale(s))Tone trajectory -65 (last below, deteriorating)
GFM
Griffin Mining Limited
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-29
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 2 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -38 (last unknown, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
CER
Cerillion PLC
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-27
Brokers 90d: 7 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -35 (last below, stable)Narrative tightly clustered z=-3.23 (cosine 0.950)
RCN
Redcentric PLC
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 25d since
-26
Director deals 90d: net £34186k selling (0 purchase(s), 4 sale(s))Tone trajectory -30 (last in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.87 (cosine 0.963)
LORD
Lords Group Trading plc
3ch · 2 agree · AIM · 23d since
-23
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.89 (cosine 0.902)
YCA
Yellow Cake PLC
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 3mo since
-21
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
JSE
Jadestone Energy plc
2ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-14
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -25 (last below, stable)Sector tone (Energy) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
ITX
Itaconix plc
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-13
Tone trajectory -30 (last unknown, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.86 (cosine 0.914)Director deals 90d: net £13k selling (0 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
ULTP
Ultimate Products PLC
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 2mo since
-11
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.43 (cosine 0.918)Director deals 90d: net £3k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
IQE
IQE plc
4ch · 2 agree · AIM · 1mo since
-10
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.78 (cosine 0.957)Director deals 90d: net £31k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
TIDMCompanyScoreDirectionChannelsDriversLast stmtSegment
AOMActiveops plc-53
4ch · 3 agree
Tone trajectory -85 (last below, deteriorating)Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)

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About this signal

Ranking is per-segment percentile of a composite score that combines tone trajectory, sector backdrop, broker rating drift, narrative drift and insider transactions. Flagging requires ≥3 of 4 channels active and ≥2 in agreement on direction. Forward outcome lift over 90 days: AIM 3.25×, Main Market 1.30× of segment baseline cut rate.

The signal does not account for borrow availability, transaction costs or market impact. Treat as a screen, not a recommendation.

Director deals 90d: net £48k selling (3 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
11d
AIM
DATAGlobaldata plc-40
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 4 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -70 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Consumer Discretionary) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdro…
1moAIM
JSGJohnson Service Group plc-34
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 5 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -55 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Industrials) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
1moAIM
GGPGreatland Resources Limited-33
3ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 3 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £7401k selling (0 purchase(s), 3 sale(s))Tone trajectory +0 (last unknown, no trend)
1moAIM
MAB1Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) plc-33
4ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 2 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £4011k buying (5 purchase(s), 0 sale(s))Tone trajectory -65 (last below, deteriorating)
1moAIM
GFMGriffin Mining Limited-29
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 2 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -38 (last unknown, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
1moAIM
CERCerillion PLC-27
3ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 7 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -35 (last below, stable)Narrative tightly clustered z=-3.23 (cosine 0.950)
1moAIM
RCNRedcentric PLC-26
3ch · 2 agree
Director deals 90d: net £34186k selling (0 purchase(s), 4 sale(s))Tone trajectory -30 (last in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.87 (cosine 0.963)
25dAIM
LORDLords Group Trading plc-23
3ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.89 (cosine 0.902)
23dAIM
YCAYellow Cake PLC-21
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
3moAIM
JSEJadestone Energy plc-14
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -25 (last below, stable)Sector tone (Energy) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
1moAIM
ITXItaconix plc-13
4ch · 2 agree
Tone trajectory -30 (last unknown, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.86 (cosine 0.914)Director deals 90d: net £13k selling (0 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
1moAIM
ULTPUltimate Products PLC-11
4ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.43 (cosine 0.918)Director deals 90d: net £3k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
2moAIM
IQEIQE plc-10
4ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.78 (cosine 0.957)Director deals 90d: net £31k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
1moAIM
Director deals 90d: net £48k selling (3 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
11d
AIM
DATAGlobaldata plc-40
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 4 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -70 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Consumer Discretionary) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdro…
1moAIM
JSGJohnson Service Group plc-34
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 5 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -55 (last below, deteriorating)Sector tone (Industrials) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
1moAIM
GGPGreatland Resources Limited-33
3ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 3 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £7401k selling (0 purchase(s), 3 sale(s))Tone trajectory +0 (last unknown, no trend)
1moAIM
MAB1Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) plc-33
4ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 2 target cut(s)Director deals 90d: net £4011k buying (5 purchase(s), 0 sale(s))Tone trajectory -65 (last below, deteriorating)
1moAIM
GFMGriffin Mining Limited-29
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 2 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -38 (last unknown, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
1moAIM
CERCerillion PLC-27
3ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 7 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -35 (last below, stable)Narrative tightly clustered z=-3.23 (cosine 0.950)
1moAIM
RCNRedcentric PLC-26
3ch · 2 agree
Director deals 90d: net £34186k selling (0 purchase(s), 4 sale(s))Tone trajectory -30 (last in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.87 (cosine 0.963)
25dAIM
LORDLords Group Trading plc-23
3ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.89 (cosine 0.902)
23dAIM
YCAYellow Cake PLC-21
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -30 (last broadly_in_line, deteriorating)Sector tone (Basic Materials) +24 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
3moAIM
JSEJadestone Energy plc-14
2ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target raise(s), 1 target cut(s)Tone trajectory -25 (last below, stable)Sector tone (Energy) +25 on 30d avg direction (backdrop)
1moAIM
ITXItaconix plc-13
4ch · 2 agree
Tone trajectory -30 (last unknown, deteriorating)Narrative tightly clustered z=-1.86 (cosine 0.914)Director deals 90d: net £13k selling (0 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
1moAIM
ULTPUltimate Products PLC-11
4ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.43 (cosine 0.918)Director deals 90d: net £3k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
2moAIM
IQEIQE plc-10
4ch · 2 agree
Brokers 90d: 1 target cut(s)Narrative tightly clustered z=-2.78 (cosine 0.957)Director deals 90d: net £31k selling (1 purchase(s), 1 sale(s))
1moAIM