Flagged for pre-raise today. Tone trajectory is stable ( → → → ); last update 2026-05-07. Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04); the earnings model leans ahead (51% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
⌘K
Flagged for pre-raise today. Tone trajectory is stable ( → → → ); last update 2026-05-07. Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04); the earnings model leans ahead (51% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Not flagged | Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active. 2 of 3 channels in agreement | tone -8.0 · broker 50.0 · director -100.0 · sector 18.5 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-05-07 · 22 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Pre-raise | Flagged | Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline). Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count. 13.0 RNS/month | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04). Model leans ahead of consensus. 21% below · 28% inline · 51% ahead · 51% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (8) | |||
| 2026-05-28 | initiation | MEDIOBANCAoutperform | 2600p |
| 2026-05-14 | target_cut | BERNSTEINmarket-perform | 2050p(was 2200) |
| 2026-05-07 | reiteration | Jefferieshousehold | GBX 2200 |
| 2026-04-21 | target_raise | Jefferieshousehold | GBX 2200(was 2150) |
| 2026-04-21 | reiteration | JefferieshouseHold | 2200p(was 2150) |
| 2026-04-17 | target_raise | MORGAN STANLEYoverweight | 2662p(was 2342) |
| 2026-04-10 | target_raise | UBSbuy | 2650p(was 2600) |
| 2026-03-26 | target_raise | BOFAbuy | 2445p(was 2330) |
| Director deals — last 90 days (50; 30 purchases) | |||
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Gabrielle Costigan8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Charles Woodburn3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Charles Woodburn8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Eric Veignat3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Eric Veignat8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Andrea Thompson3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Andrea Thompson8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Karin Hoeing3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Karin Hoeing7 shares | £1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Caitlin Hayden3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Caitlin Hayden8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Bradley Greve3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Bradley Greve8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Edward Gelsthorpe3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Edward Gelsthorpe8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Tania Gandamihardja3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Tania Gandamihardja8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Julian Cracknell3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Julian Cracknell8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Gabrielle Costigan3 shares | £0 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (77% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-05-07 · 22 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline).
Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04). Model leans ahead of consensus.
21% below · 28% inline · 51% ahead · 51% model confidence · calendar low
MEDIOBANCAoutperform
BERNSTEINmarket-perform
Jefferieshousehold
Jefferieshousehold
JefferieshouseHold
MORGAN STANLEYoverweight
UBSbuy
BOFAbuy
Gabrielle Costigan8 shares
Charles Woodburn3 shares
Charles Woodburn8 shares
Eric Veignat3 shares
Eric Veignat8 shares
Andrea Thompson3 shares
Andrea Thompson8 shares
Karin Hoeing3 shares
Karin Hoeing7 shares
Caitlin Hayden3 shares
Caitlin Hayden8 shares
Bradley Greve3 shares
Bradley Greve8 shares
Edward Gelsthorpe3 shares
Edward Gelsthorpe8 shares
Tania Gandamihardja3 shares
Tania Gandamihardja8 shares
Julian Cracknell3 shares
Julian Cracknell8 shares
Gabrielle Costigan3 shares
Flagged for pre-raise today. Tone trajectory is stable ( → → → ); last update 2026-05-07. Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04); the earnings model leans ahead (51% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Not flagged | Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active. 2 of 3 channels in agreement | tone -8.0 · broker 50.0 · director -100.0 · sector 18.5 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-05-07 · 22 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Pre-raise | Flagged | Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline). Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count. 13.0 RNS/month | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04). Model leans ahead of consensus. 21% below · 28% inline · 51% ahead · 51% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (8) | |||
| 2026-05-28 | initiation | MEDIOBANCAoutperform | 2600p |
| 2026-05-14 | target_cut | BERNSTEINmarket-perform | 2050p(was 2200) |
| 2026-05-07 | reiteration | Jefferieshousehold | GBX 2200 |
| 2026-04-21 | target_raise | Jefferieshousehold | GBX 2200(was 2150) |
| 2026-04-21 | reiteration | JefferieshouseHold | 2200p(was 2150) |
| 2026-04-17 | target_raise | MORGAN STANLEYoverweight | 2662p(was 2342) |
| 2026-04-10 | target_raise | UBSbuy | 2650p(was 2600) |
| 2026-03-26 | target_raise | BOFAbuy | 2445p(was 2330) |
| Director deals — last 90 days (50; 30 purchases) | |||
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Gabrielle Costigan8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Charles Woodburn3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Charles Woodburn8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Eric Veignat3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Eric Veignat8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Andrea Thompson3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Andrea Thompson8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Karin Hoeing3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Karin Hoeing7 shares | £1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Caitlin Hayden3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Caitlin Hayden8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Bradley Greve3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Bradley Greve8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Edward Gelsthorpe3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Edward Gelsthorpe8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Tania Gandamihardja3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Tania Gandamihardja8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Julian Cracknell3 shares | £0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Purchase | Julian Cracknell8 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Award | Gabrielle Costigan3 shares | £0 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (77% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-05-07 · 22 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline).
Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 48 days (2026-08-04). Model leans ahead of consensus.
21% below · 28% inline · 51% ahead · 51% model confidence · calendar low
MEDIOBANCAoutperform
BERNSTEINmarket-perform
Jefferieshousehold
Jefferieshousehold
JefferieshouseHold
MORGAN STANLEYoverweight
UBSbuy
BOFAbuy
Gabrielle Costigan8 shares
Charles Woodburn3 shares
Charles Woodburn8 shares
Eric Veignat3 shares
Eric Veignat8 shares
Andrea Thompson3 shares
Andrea Thompson8 shares
Karin Hoeing3 shares
Karin Hoeing7 shares
Caitlin Hayden3 shares
Caitlin Hayden8 shares
Bradley Greve3 shares
Bradley Greve8 shares
Edward Gelsthorpe3 shares
Edward Gelsthorpe8 shares
Tania Gandamihardja3 shares
Tania Gandamihardja8 shares
Julian Cracknell3 shares
Julian Cracknell8 shares
Gabrielle Costigan3 shares