Flagged for pre-raise today. ( → → ahead → ); last update 2026-04-29. Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29); the earnings model leans ahead (41% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
Flagged for pre-raise today. ( → → ahead → ); last update 2026-04-29. Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29); the earnings model leans ahead (41% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Not flagged | Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active. 2 of 3 channels in agreement | tone -15.0 · broker -100.0 · director 100.0 · sector 36.0 |
| Tone trajectory | available | Tone trajectory available. most recent 2026-04-29 · 29 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Pre-raise | Flagged | Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline). Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count. 13.5 RNS/month | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29). Model leans ahead of consensus. 38% below · 21% inline · 41% ahead · 41% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (20) | |||
| 2026-06-08 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-06-08 | reiteration | DeutscheHold | 1900p |
| 2026-05-28 | reiteration | Jefferiesbuy | GBX 2500 |
| 2026-05-28 | reiteration | JefferiesBuy | 2500p |
| 2026-05-27 | reiteration | DeutscheHold | 1900p |
| 2026-05-27 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-05-06 | target_cut | Citigroupneutral | GBX 2100(was 2250) |
| 2026-05-06 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-05-06 | target_cut | CITIGROUPneutral | 2100p(was 2250) |
| 2026-04-30 | target_cut | BARCLAYSunderweight | 1800p(was 1900) |
| 2026-04-30 | target_cut | LBBWhold | 2100p(was 2300) |
| 2026-04-30 | target_cut | GOLDMANneutral | 1870p(was 1920) |
| 2026-04-29 | target_cut | DZ BANKhold | 2100p(was 2200) |
| 2026-04-28 | reiteration | DeutscheHold | 1900p |
| 2026-04-28 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-04-14 | reiteration | JefferiesBuy | 2500p |
| 2026-04-13 | target_raise | JEFFERIESbuy | 2500p(was 2450) |
| 2026-04-13 | target_raise | GOLDMANneutral | 1920p(was 1830) |
| 2026-04-02 | reiteration | JefferiesBuy | 2450p |
| 2026-03-25 | reiteration | Shore CapitalBuy | — |
| Director deals — last 90 days (38; 37 purchases) | |||
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Lynn Baxter14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Neil Falkingham12 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Victoria Whyte12 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Deborah Waterhouse14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Philip Thomson14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Regis Simard14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | David Redfern14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | James Ford14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Julie Brown14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Purchase | Maya Martinez-Davis9 shares | £5 |
| 2026-05-22 | Purchase | Maya Martinez-Davis9,293 shares | £4.8k |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | Dr Hal Barron74 shares | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | Dr Hal Barron2,300 shares | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | James Ford54 shares | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | Maya Martinez-Davis82 shares | — |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | David Redfern14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | James Ford14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | Julie Brown14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | Lynn Baxter12 shares | £2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | Neil Falkingham14 shares | £3 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (78% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
Tone trajectory available.
most recent 2026-04-29 · 29 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline).
Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29). Model leans ahead of consensus.
38% below · 21% inline · 41% ahead · 41% model confidence · calendar low
Deutschehold
DeutscheHold
Jefferiesbuy
JefferiesBuy
DeutscheHold
Deutschehold
Citigroupneutral
Deutschehold
CITIGROUPneutral
BARCLAYSunderweight
LBBWhold
GOLDMANneutral
DZ BANKhold
DeutscheHold
Deutschehold
JefferiesBuy
JEFFERIESbuy
GOLDMANneutral
JefferiesBuy
Shore CapitalBuy
Lynn Baxter14 shares
Neil Falkingham12 shares
Victoria Whyte12 shares
Deborah Waterhouse14 shares
Philip Thomson14 shares
Regis Simard14 shares
David Redfern14 shares
James Ford14 shares
Julie Brown14 shares
Maya Martinez-Davis9 shares
Maya Martinez-Davis9,293 shares
Dr Hal Barron74 shares
Dr Hal Barron2,300 shares
James Ford54 shares
Maya Martinez-Davis82 shares
David Redfern14 shares
James Ford14 shares
Julie Brown14 shares
Lynn Baxter12 shares
Neil Falkingham14 shares
Flagged for pre-raise today. ( → → ahead → ); last update 2026-04-29. Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29); the earnings model leans ahead (41% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Not flagged | Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active. 2 of 3 channels in agreement | tone -15.0 · broker -100.0 · director 100.0 · sector 36.0 |
| Tone trajectory | available | Tone trajectory available. most recent 2026-04-29 · 29 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Pre-raise | Flagged | Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline). Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count. 13.5 RNS/month | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29). Model leans ahead of consensus. 38% below · 21% inline · 41% ahead · 41% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (20) | |||
| 2026-06-08 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-06-08 | reiteration | DeutscheHold | 1900p |
| 2026-05-28 | reiteration | Jefferiesbuy | GBX 2500 |
| 2026-05-28 | reiteration | JefferiesBuy | 2500p |
| 2026-05-27 | reiteration | DeutscheHold | 1900p |
| 2026-05-27 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-05-06 | target_cut | Citigroupneutral | GBX 2100(was 2250) |
| 2026-05-06 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-05-06 | target_cut | CITIGROUPneutral | 2100p(was 2250) |
| 2026-04-30 | target_cut | BARCLAYSunderweight | 1800p(was 1900) |
| 2026-04-30 | target_cut | LBBWhold | 2100p(was 2300) |
| 2026-04-30 | target_cut | GOLDMANneutral | 1870p(was 1920) |
| 2026-04-29 | target_cut | DZ BANKhold | 2100p(was 2200) |
| 2026-04-28 | reiteration | DeutscheHold | 1900p |
| 2026-04-28 | reiteration | Deutschehold | GBX 1900 |
| 2026-04-14 | reiteration | JefferiesBuy | 2500p |
| 2026-04-13 | target_raise | JEFFERIESbuy | 2500p(was 2450) |
| 2026-04-13 | target_raise | GOLDMANneutral | 1920p(was 1830) |
| 2026-04-02 | reiteration | JefferiesBuy | 2450p |
| 2026-03-25 | reiteration | Shore CapitalBuy | — |
| Director deals — last 90 days (38; 37 purchases) | |||
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Lynn Baxter14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Neil Falkingham12 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Victoria Whyte12 shares | £2 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Deborah Waterhouse14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Philip Thomson14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Regis Simard14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | David Redfern14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | James Ford14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Purchase | Julie Brown14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Purchase | Maya Martinez-Davis9 shares | £5 |
| 2026-05-22 | Purchase | Maya Martinez-Davis9,293 shares | £4.8k |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | Dr Hal Barron74 shares | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | Dr Hal Barron2,300 shares | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | James Ford54 shares | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Purchase | Maya Martinez-Davis82 shares | — |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | David Redfern14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | James Ford14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | Julie Brown14 shares | £3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | Lynn Baxter12 shares | £2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Purchase | Neil Falkingham14 shares | £3 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (78% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 3 of 4 channels active.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
Tone trajectory available.
most recent 2026-04-29 · 29 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline).
Hype-language density 0.0 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 40 days (2026-07-29). Model leans ahead of consensus.
38% below · 21% inline · 41% ahead · 41% model confidence · calendar low
Deutschehold
DeutscheHold
Jefferiesbuy
JefferiesBuy
DeutscheHold
Deutschehold
Citigroupneutral
Deutschehold
CITIGROUPneutral
BARCLAYSunderweight
LBBWhold
GOLDMANneutral
DZ BANKhold
DeutscheHold
Deutschehold
JefferiesBuy
JEFFERIESbuy
GOLDMANneutral
JefferiesBuy
Shore CapitalBuy
Lynn Baxter14 shares
Neil Falkingham12 shares
Victoria Whyte12 shares
Deborah Waterhouse14 shares
Philip Thomson14 shares
Regis Simard14 shares
David Redfern14 shares
James Ford14 shares
Julie Brown14 shares
Maya Martinez-Davis9 shares
Maya Martinez-Davis9,293 shares
Dr Hal Barron74 shares
Dr Hal Barron2,300 shares
James Ford54 shares
Maya Martinez-Davis82 shares
David Redfern14 shares
James Ford14 shares
Julie Brown14 shares
Lynn Baxter12 shares
Neil Falkingham14 shares