Composite signals
Multi-channelDecliner flagged
Tone deteriorating across multiple channels — flagged decliner in MAIN_MARKET.
2 of 3 channels in agreement
tone -30.0 · broker -33.3 · director 0.0 · sector 34.8
Tone trajectorydeteriorating
Tone has been deteriorating.
most recent 2026-02-25 · 5 statements in last 180d
DistressNot flagged
Not flagged for distress.
Pre-raiseNot flagged
Not flagged as a pre-raise candidate.
Narrative driftDrifted
Narrative has drifted significantly from this company's historical baseline (0.0σ).
Recent disclosures sit 0.0 standard deviations from this company's own historical narrative (7 recent vs 53 historical announcements compared).
Forward catalyst
Upcoming resultsPredicted ahead
Next results expected today (2026-04-30). Model leans ahead of consensus.
23% below · 31% inline · 46% ahead · 46% model confidence · calendar high
Broker actions — last 90 days (6)
2026-05-05target_raise
JP Morgan Cazenoveoverweight
GBX 1800(was 1600)
2026-05-04target_raise
1800p(was 1600)
2026-04-15target_cut
1730p(was 1750)
2026-04-14initiation
1800p
2026-03-23target_raise
1750p(was 1680)
2026-03-05reiteration
1148p(was 1068)
Director deals — last 90 days (1; 1 purchase)
Backdrop
UK macro regimerecovery
UK cycle classification: recovery (78% confidence).