Flagged for tone decliner today. Tone trajectory is stable (broadly_in_line → → ahead → ); last update 2026-09-24. Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01); the earnings model leans ahead (36% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
Flagged for tone decliner today. Tone trajectory is stable (broadly_in_line → → ahead → ); last update 2026-09-24. Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01); the earnings model leans ahead (36% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Decliner flagged | Tone deteriorating across multiple channels — flagged decliner in MAIN_MARKET. 3 of 4 channels in agreement | tone -15.0 · broker -100.0 · director -100.0 · sector 25.1 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-09-24 · 8 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Promotional language | Not flagged | RNS language is not unusually promotional. | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01). Model leans ahead of consensus. 28% below · 36% inline · 36% ahead · 36% model confidence · calendar announced | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (7) | |||
| 2026-10-08 | target_cut | BERENBERGbuy | 240p(was 280) |
| 2026-10-08 | target_cut | Berenberg Bankbuy | 240p(was 280) |
| 2026-10-08 | reiteration | Berenberg BankBuy | 240p(was 280) |
| 2026-09-25 | target_cut | Canaccord Genuitybuy | 220p(was 240) |
| 2026-09-25 | target_cut | DEUTSCHE BANKbuy | 261p(was 314) |
| 2026-09-25 | target_cut | RBCoutperform | 235p(was 290) |
| 2026-09-24 | reiteration | Shore Capitalbuy | 200p |
| Director deals — last 90 days (4; 3 sales) | |||
| 2026-10-07 | Sale | Simon Cooper500,000 shares | £8.7k |
| 2026-10-07 | Sale | Hawksford Trustees Jersey Limited (as trustees of the SC 2014 Settlement) on behalf of the family of Simon Cooper500,000 shares | £8.7k |
| 2026-09-28 | Exercise | Kirsteen Vickerstaff132,130 shares | £0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Sale | Kirsteen Vickerstaff70,029 shares | £119.5k |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (91% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Tone deteriorating across multiple channels — flagged decliner in MAIN_MARKET.
3 of 4 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-09-24 · 8 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
RNS language is not unusually promotional.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01). Model leans ahead of consensus.
28% below · 36% inline · 36% ahead · 36% model confidence · calendar announced
BERENBERGbuy
Berenberg Bankbuy
Berenberg BankBuy
Canaccord Genuitybuy
DEUTSCHE BANKbuy
RBCoutperform
Shore Capitalbuy
Simon Cooper500,000 shares
Hawksford Trustees Jersey Limited (as trustees of the SC 2014 Settlement) on behalf of the family of Simon Cooper500,000 shares
Kirsteen Vickerstaff132,130 shares
Kirsteen Vickerstaff70,029 shares
Flagged for tone decliner today. Tone trajectory is stable (broadly_in_line → → ahead → ); last update 2026-09-24. Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01); the earnings model leans ahead (36% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Decliner flagged | Tone deteriorating across multiple channels — flagged decliner in MAIN_MARKET. 3 of 4 channels in agreement | tone -15.0 · broker -100.0 · director -100.0 · sector 25.1 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-09-24 · 8 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Not flagged | Not flagged for distress. | |
| Promotional language | Not flagged | RNS language is not unusually promotional. | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01). Model leans ahead of consensus. 28% below · 36% inline · 36% ahead · 36% model confidence · calendar announced | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days (7) | |||
| 2026-10-08 | target_cut | BERENBERGbuy | 240p(was 280) |
| 2026-10-08 | target_cut | Berenberg Bankbuy | 240p(was 280) |
| 2026-10-08 | reiteration | Berenberg BankBuy | 240p(was 280) |
| 2026-09-25 | target_cut | Canaccord Genuitybuy | 220p(was 240) |
| 2026-09-25 | target_cut | DEUTSCHE BANKbuy | 261p(was 314) |
| 2026-09-25 | target_cut | RBCoutperform | 235p(was 290) |
| 2026-09-24 | reiteration | Shore Capitalbuy | 200p |
| Director deals — last 90 days (4; 3 sales) | |||
| 2026-10-07 | Sale | Simon Cooper500,000 shares | £8.7k |
| 2026-10-07 | Sale | Hawksford Trustees Jersey Limited (as trustees of the SC 2014 Settlement) on behalf of the family of Simon Cooper500,000 shares | £8.7k |
| 2026-09-28 | Exercise | Kirsteen Vickerstaff132,130 shares | £0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Sale | Kirsteen Vickerstaff70,029 shares | £119.5k |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (91% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Tone deteriorating across multiple channels — flagged decliner in MAIN_MARKET.
3 of 4 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-09-24 · 8 statements in last 180d
Not flagged for distress.
RNS language is not unusually promotional.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 38 days (2026-12-01). Model leans ahead of consensus.
28% below · 36% inline · 36% ahead · 36% model confidence · calendar announced
BERENBERGbuy
Berenberg Bankbuy
Berenberg BankBuy
Canaccord Genuitybuy
DEUTSCHE BANKbuy
RBCoutperform
Shore Capitalbuy
Simon Cooper500,000 shares
Hawksford Trustees Jersey Limited (as trustees of the SC 2014 Settlement) on behalf of the family of Simon Cooper500,000 shares
Kirsteen Vickerstaff132,130 shares
Kirsteen Vickerstaff70,029 shares