Multiple signals firing — flagged for distress, pre-raise. Worth a closer look. Tone trajectory is stable (broadly_in_line → broadly_in_line → broadly_in_line → ); last update 2026-04-29. Next results expected in 22 days (2026-05-28); the earnings model leans ahead (47% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Not flagged | Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 2 of 4 channels active. 2 of 2 channels in agreement | tone 0.0 · broker — · director 1.1 · sector 25.5 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-04-29 · 27 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Flagged | Distress flagged. Archetype: mature_profitable. AR 2024 §Going concern: "…concern ### Background and context At the en… | |
| Pre-raise | Flagged | Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline). Hype-language density 0.7 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count. hype density 0.7/1k words (2 hits in 28 scannable docs)2025-12-09: "…d wine makers earn more for doing what they do best, mak…2025-12-09: "…ur profitable core. Um, [clears throat] again, we're see… | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 22 days (2026-05-28). Model leans ahead of consensus. 20% below · 33% inline · 47% ahead · 47% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days | |||
| — | None | No broker rating changes in the last 90 days. | |
| Director deals — last 90 days (3; 3 purchases) | |||
| 2026-03-18 | Purchase | Jack Pailing38,000 shares | £29 |
| 2026-03-10 | Purchase | Jack Pailing12,000 shares | £9 |
| 2026-03-05 | Purchase | Jack Pailing20,000 shares | £15 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (75% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 2 of 4 channels active.
2 of 2 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-04-29 · 27 statements in last 180d
Distress flagged.
Archetype: mature_profitable.
Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline).
Hype-language density 0.7 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 22 days (2026-05-28). Model leans ahead of consensus.
20% below · 33% inline · 47% ahead · 47% model confidence · calendar low
No broker rating changes in the last 90 days.
Jack Pailing38,000 shares
Jack Pailing12,000 shares
Jack Pailing20,000 shares
Multiple signals firing — flagged for distress, pre-raise. Worth a closer look. Tone trajectory is stable (broadly_in_line → broadly_in_line → broadly_in_line → ); last update 2026-04-29. Next results expected in 22 days (2026-05-28); the earnings model leans ahead (47% confidence). Macro backdrop: recovery.
| Signal / Date | Status | Detail | Indicator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite signals | |||
| Multi-channel | Not flagged | Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 2 of 4 channels active. 2 of 2 channels in agreement | tone 0.0 · broker — · director 1.1 · sector 25.5 |
| Tone trajectory | stable | Tone has been stable. most recent 2026-04-29 · 27 statements in last 180d | |
| Distress | Flagged | Distress flagged. Archetype: mature_profitable. AR 2024 §Going concern: "…concern ### Background and context At the en… | |
| Pre-raise | Flagged | Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline). Hype-language density 0.7 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count. hype density 0.7/1k words (2 hits in 28 scannable docs)2025-12-09: "…d wine makers earn more for doing what they do best, mak…2025-12-09: "…ur profitable core. Um, [clears throat] again, we're see… | |
| Narrative drift | Stable | Narrative consistent with historical baseline. | |
| Forward catalyst | |||
| Upcoming results | Predicted ahead | Next results expected in 22 days (2026-05-28). Model leans ahead of consensus. 20% below · 33% inline · 47% ahead · 47% model confidence · calendar low | |
| Broker actions — last 90 days | |||
| — | None | No broker rating changes in the last 90 days. | |
| Director deals — last 90 days (3; 3 purchases) | |||
| 2026-03-18 | Purchase | Jack Pailing38,000 shares | £29 |
| 2026-03-10 | Purchase | Jack Pailing12,000 shares | £9 |
| 2026-03-05 | Purchase | Jack Pailing20,000 shares | £15 |
| Backdrop | |||
| UK macro regime | recovery | UK cycle classification: recovery (75% confidence). | See macro indicators → |
Mixed signals — not flagged on either side. 2 of 4 channels active.
2 of 2 channels in agreement
Tone has been stable.
most recent 2026-04-29 · 27 statements in last 180d
Distress flagged.
Archetype: mature_profitable.
Active hype-language pattern — historically precedes equity raises (1.32× baseline).
Hype-language density 0.7 per 1k words across recent disclosures. RNS cadence alone isn't a signal — buybacks and routine reporting can dominate; this measures language patterns, not announcement count.
Narrative consistent with historical baseline.
Next results expected in 22 days (2026-05-28). Model leans ahead of consensus.
20% below · 33% inline · 47% ahead · 47% model confidence · calendar low
No broker rating changes in the last 90 days.
Jack Pailing38,000 shares
Jack Pailing12,000 shares
Jack Pailing20,000 shares
